Refinancing Your Mortgage vs. Selling Your Home in 2025

Should I refinance my mortgage or sell my home? Homeowners often grapple with this tough decision, as both options come with excellent benefits and trade-offs.

Refinancing can lower monthly payments or reduce interest rates, providing long-term savings, but it often involves fees, paperwork, and an extended commitment. Selling offers an opportunity to move to a new home, potentially unlock equity, and avoid long-term debt, but it also means facing market uncertainties and dealing with the costs and stresses of relocation.

Check Your Home Value Before Deciding to Sell

The housing market is shifting, and real estate prices have changed over the past couple of years. We’ll provide you with an instant preliminary home value estimate so you can make a more informed selling decision.

In such major life decisions with far-reaching financial consequences, it’s important for homeowners to weigh financial benefits, personal goals, and market conditions before making a move.

In this post, we’ll provide expert insights to help you answer this question. We’ll also review the reasons homeowners may opt to refinance, how to compare loan types, and the importance of getting expert advice for your specific situation. But first, let’s take a look at how the 2025 economic climate and housing market may influence your decision.

How might interest rates, inflation, and home prices affect your decision?

To stimulate the economy and avert a potential recession, the Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates twice so far this year. In November, the rate was cut by 25 basis points to a range of 4.50% to 4.75%. This was after the 50-bps cut in September, which dropped the rate from 5.25% to 5.50%.

Despite these efforts, mortgage rates remained stubbornly high in the upper 6% range. In fact, in the final week of October, the average 30-year fixed mortgage spiked to 7%. As of November 27, 2024, it stood at 6.81%.

Refinancing is likely not as beneficial now: What do these numbers mean for you if you’d like to refinance your mortgage? Depending on your current interest rate, they could mean that your monthly payment would go up, or that you end up paying significantly more interest over the life of your loan.

While these rates are not high compared with the 80s, 90s, and even 2000s, if you purchased your home after 2008 (but before 2022) or even refinanced during the period of low interest rates, there’s a good chance you’ve enjoyed a lower rate.

Selling might be profitable, but finding a serious buyer may be hard: So, what if you sell instead? Recent data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) shows that sales of existing homes are up 2.9% from the previous year, while the median home sales price is up 4% at $407,200, the 16th consecutive month of year-over-year price gains.

More home sales point to strong buyer interest, which may translate to multiple offers on your home. The rising median price is likewise good news, as you may be able to sell your home for a higher price. But even with the high demand and price appreciation, selling may be difficult, as some homebuyers are still sitting on the sidelines, waiting for mortgage rates to drop.

Changes from seller’s market of prior years: In HomeLight’s 2023 End of Year survey of more than 1,000 top agents across the country, 50% said their local market was in a seller’s market, but that was down from 72% in summer 2023 and down from 98% at the start of 2022.

Interestingly, in the 2024 report, only 32% of agents described their market as a seller’s market. Meanwhile, the share of agents who felt they were in a buyer’s market reached 26%, up from 13% at the end of 2023. Most agents (42%) described the market as balanced.

The market is shifting, as we see high housing inventory and more options for buyers. The number of unsold existing homes rose by 19.1% in September 2024 compared to the same month last year. In October, the total number of homes for sale was 29.2% higher than the year before, the highest since 2019.

Given the current market environment that slightly favors buyers, you may face a few challenges selling your home. For one, it could take longer to sell as buyers carefully weigh multiple options. Additionally, buyers are in a stronger position to negotiate, often requesting repairs and concessions.

A top agent can make it happen: To get expert insight into today’s changing market, we spoke to David Lewis, a top real estate agent in the Atlanta, Georgia, suburbs with more than 16 years of experience. While interest rates are making many buyers hesitant, Lewis explains, “A good house in good condition at the right price always sells quickly.”

He recommends partnering with an experienced agent and a lender who are up to date on the changing market and knowledgeable on what will make your home desirable to today’s buyers. HomeLight can connect you with a top agent who is well-equipped to navigate a challenging market. It takes just two minutes to find an agent tailored to your needs.

Now that we’ve glimpsed the unique challenges of the 2025 market, it’s time to learn more about your options.

What’s the advantage of getting a new mortgage?

When you refinance your loan, you pay off your existing mortgage and replace it with a new loan with different terms and interest rates. With higher mortgage rates, homeowners are wary about refinancing.

While predicting the trajectory of mortgage rates is challenging due to changing factors like inflation, the job market, and potential reforms in administration policies, experts anticipate that mortgage rates will decline in 2025, settling in the mid-5 % range.

In a typical housing market, what are some possible reasons to refinance?

Lowering your monthly payment

The first way a refinance may lower your payment is with a lower interest rate than your original mortgage. If rates have gone down since you purchased your home, or your credit score or income has significantly improved, you may qualify for a more favorable rate.

The second way is by extending the loan term. If your original mortgage was a 30-year loan, for example, and 10 years in, you decide to refinance to another 30-year loan, you’ll be paying the mortgage on that house for a total of 40 years.

However, the balance remaining after 10 years of paying will now be spread across 30 more years, significantly reducing your monthly payments. Note, though, that you’ll be paying interest for an additional 10 years, increasing your overall cost.

Saving money in the long run

Getting a lower interest rate also reduces the total amount of interest you’ll pay over the life of a loan. And, did you know it’s possible to refinance and shorten the life of your loan? This means you pay interest over a shorter period, reducing the total interest on the loan significantly.

Cashing out equity in your home

If you’re looking to access equity, a cash-out refinance will let you do just that. With this loan, you’re actually borrowing more than what you still owe on the original mortgage — essentially converting your equity into available funds to see as you see fit.

Some consider this a risky financial move. As with any option, weigh the pros and cons of a cash-out refinance carefully.

Changing your loan type

Interest rates aren’t everything.

The type of loan you get is just as important. Every time you get a new mortgage or refinance, your lender will be looking at your existing financial data, including your current income, credit history, and outstanding debt, to determine interest rates and loan types for which you qualify.

So, if you’re making more money, carrying less debt, and have a better credit score now than when you purchased your home, you may be able to strike a better deal, replacing your 30-year variable rate mortgage for a 15-year fixed mortgage, for example.

However, if you’re making less, carrying more debt, or having credit trouble, your chances of getting a good deal on a new loan are slim. For instance, refinancing could require you to give up your slightly higher fixed-rate mortgage for only a slightly lower variable-rate loan. Even though the new rate is technically lower, you may wind up paying more in the long run.

Low equity or bad credit? You may still be able to refinance

If you’re afraid you have bad credit or too little equity in your home to benefit from a refinance, you may not necessarily be out of luck. Shop lenders and ask about programs that can still make refinancing possible, even if you have low or moderate income, or you have a less-than-stellar credit rating.

How to examine current rates and compare loans

If you’re considering refinancing or selling due to financial need, the place to start is by comparing your existing mortgage rate with current ones. This will require some homework to understand the impact a different interest rate or new loan type will have on your finances over time. Check out this Mortgages 101 Guide to understand loan types better.

Every mortgage lender determines its own rates, which is why experts recommend that you get quotes from multiple lenders and brokers. Moreover, those rates vary within each institution depending on the loan type.

For example, the same lender may charge 6.90% interest on a 15-year, fixed-rate mortgage for a new purchase home while charging 7.52% interest on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage. When you refinance instead of buying new, those rates are often slightly higher for each loan type, depending on how you structure the loan.

With dozens of loan types and mortgage lenders to choose from, you have plenty of opportunities to find the one that best helps you financially. However, keep in mind that you may no longer qualify for the loan type you currently have.

What impacts your new or refinanced mortgage?

As we have seen, even if rates are lower on paper, that may not mean they’ll actually save you money in the long run. Let’s take a look at some factors that can increase mortgage rates and reduce the amount you save.

Loan-to-value ratio

A loan-to-value ratio (LTV ratio) assesses a borrower’s risk level by evaluating the amount of the mortgage loan versus the current market value of the mortgaged property.

For example, if you need a $400,000 mortgage on a property valued at $500,000, your LTV ratio is 80%.

Remember those slightly higher refinancing mortgage rates? Those typically occur because you’re either cashing out equity as part of the refinance or wrapping closing costs into the new mortgage. Doing so increases the LTV ratio. If it goes over 80%, you’ll only qualify for higher interest rates, and the lender may require you to pay for mortgage insurance.

If you’ve paid your existing mortgage for a number of years — and your home’s value has risen during that time — then your LTV ratio has improved, and you’re likely to get a good rate.

However, if your home’s value decreased after taking out your existing loan — and you’re now upside-down on your mortgage — then your LTV worsened over time, even if you’ve been consistent in your mortgage payments. In this situation, your LTV ratio will only qualify you for the most expensive interest rates, if you qualify at all.

Closing costs, fees, and other unexpected expenses

Getting a new mortgage is going to cost you. Aside from the potential for mortgage insurance, you’re going to have closing costs and lender fees, which can be between 3% and 6% of your total loan.

There are also other expenses specific to you that must be accounted for when you’re calculating how much that lower interest rate is actually saving you.

For example, homeowners who received a First-Time Homebuyer Credit may need to repay that credit when closing out their first mortgage, whether refinancing or buying new.

So, keep in mind that an initial rate comparison may seem to indicate that you’ll save money with a better rate that lowers your monthly mortgage. However, those minimal monthly savings over time may not ultimately outweigh the amount you’ll pay in fees to get the new loan.

Work With a Top Agent to Sell in 2024

If you’re selling a home in 2023, more balanced market conditions mean that the experience and expertise of a top real estate agent have become even more essential. Connect with a top agent in your area, who can help sell your home faster and for more money than an average agent.

Time to decide: Refinance or sell?

Every homeowner’s financial situation and existing mortgage structure are complex and unique, so there is no one-size-fits-all answer. To decide, it’s best to analyze your financial needs and seek expert advice for your specific situation.

Decide whether your financial need is short-term or long-term

“As real estate agents, people come to us with unique problems, and we help them understand the market” so they can make the right decision, Lewis said. In any market, some people need to move because they’re relocating for work, dealing with a divorce, or need a bigger home for a growing family. In that case, it makes sense to sell, “especially if you have equity,” he says.

Lewis recommends meeting with a mortgage professional who can discuss financial vehicles that may help you reduce the mortgage costs on a new home. For example, the lender may have a rate buy-down program or offer a discounted rate for the first year or two. An adjustable-rate mortgage may be another option.

Rick Ruiz, a top agent in Las Vegas, Nevada, who sells properties more than 47% quicker than the average agent in that area, suggests homeowners looking to tap their equity decide if their need is short-term or long-term.

If your problem is short-term and very specific — say, you need help paying several large medical bills, but you’ve got typical monthly expenses covered — Ruiz suggests a third option that is especially helpful in a high-interest-rate environment: a home equity line of credit (HELOC).

Although this loan type still borrows against your equity, origination fees will be much lower than for a refinance. Plus, although you may be approved for a large amount, you only take out and pay interest on what you end up needing — so you may not end up increasing your debt burden as much this way.

If your problem is longer term (and you don’t want or need to move for other reasons), Ruiz recommends a refinance over selling. “I’m a big proponent of holding real estate long-term,” he says. “I’m going to come from a place of what can I do to hold onto this asset if at all possible.”

Consult the experts

You don’t have to make such a complex and big decision alone.

The National Association of Mortgage Brokers (NAMB) offers a search feature to help you find a Lending Integrity Professional who can review your options with you. After working out the numbers with a refinancing expert, your next step is to consult with an experienced real estate agent. An agent will help you compare your potential refinancing savings with your potential profits from selling your home.

An agent is also your best resource for obtaining the comps of homes sold in your area so you can assess your home’s current market value—rather than letting your lender alone determine its worth.

Proceed with confidence

Deciding to refinance or sell is a personal financial decision. When you understand your options in light of today’s complex market, honestly assess your financial situation, and collaborate with experts, you’ll be equipped to make a smart decision for your home.

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